Saturday the Chief Actuary of Medicare & Medicaid, Rick Foster, released his estimate of the effects of the House-passed health care reform bill.  His memo shows how H.R. 3962 would affect the number of people with different types of health insurance in the year 2019.  I made a picture of the most interesting effects, grouping the newly covered people into private coverage vs. government coverage.  As always, you can click on the graph for a larger version.

You can see that the largest effects of the House-passed bill on insurance coverage are:

• The bill would mean almost 30 M new people in government-run insurance, more than four times as many as would be newly insured through private coverage.
• By far the largest effect of the bill would be to enroll more than 23 M new people in two existing government programs, Medicaid and S-CHIP.  Medicaid is today widely regarded as fiscally unsustainable before adding more people.

Read the full post here